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青年大学习第八季第八期 - 传统媒体转型的新路径?
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北海市(铁山港区、海城区、银海区、合浦县)

  “对华145%关税确实很高,协议达成后美对华关税将大幅下降,但不会降至零”“中方必须同美达成协议,否则无法同美做生意。若不同美达成协议,就按美方说的办,美国才是定规矩的一方。”

  近日,美国总统特朗普对媒体的这番表态,软话硬话车轱辘话说了一堆,给人啼笑皆非之感。

  平等对话应是国与国之间解决问题的基本态度。中美双方在经贸合作中出现分歧和摩擦是正常的,关键要尊重彼此核心利益和重大关切,通过平等对话妥善解决分歧。事实已经证明,中国根本不吃霸凌讹诈、极限施压那一套,在美方没有展现出真正的诚意,彻底改变错误做法之前,口头上的甜枣也好、大棒也罢,只是给自己找台阶下,对中国没有任何实际意义。

  挑起新一轮关税战贸易战至今,美方朝令夕改、一日三变,越折腾自己越焦虑。心理学上有个概念叫“投射效应”,特朗普政府越强调“按美方说的办”,实际上越反映其已经丧失了对局势的掌控,信心、耐心逐渐消磨殆尽。这种纠结的心态,从三个方面看得很真切。

  其一,战术乱了。一个多月来,在关税政策上,特朗普政府反复横跳,一会儿向全球开战、一会儿“战术豁免”,一会儿玩“数字游戏”,一会儿海关系统“精准”失灵,国家信誉早已碎了一地。即便如此,白宫还厚着脸皮对外宣称各国纷纷打电话求和。但现实是,关税战正在让世界加速“卖出美国”。不到半个月,美国市场两度出现“股债汇”三杀情形:被视为“全球资产定价之锚”的美国国债遭抛售,并伴随着美股大跌、美元历史性走低,这也导致特朗普三番五次喊话美联储抓紧降息救急,甚至不惜以让美联储主席鲍威尔卷铺盖走人相逼。

  如此混乱场面让美媒都忍不住揶揄:特朗普的“对等关税”政策“像鸡尾酒餐巾一样,说折就折”。如此“低幼”做派,还妄想中国滑跪妥协,“按美方说的办”,确实需要“醒醒”。

  其二,霸权失灵。漫天要价、就地还钱,讹诈胁迫、得寸进尺……这套“交易的艺术”,说到底是以霸权相逼割韭菜。可今时不比往日,日渐衰落的美式霸权显然不足以支撑其再予取予求。狮子大开口不成,反而“自损一千”,抬高了美国企业的生产成本和美国民众的生活成本。

  其三,尽失人心。美国政客经常重复一句话,“美国是世界的‘领导者’”,然而,自私自利、以邻为壑令人心寒,一系列谜之操作更让全球产业链供应链加速“去美国化”。跪得越快、宰得越狠的现实,也让其传统盟友纷纷“离心”。正如巴西总统卢拉近日所言,全球贸易规则不能由一个国家说了算。越来越多国家意识到,绥靖妥协只会是“与虎谋皮”,由美国定规矩,这本身就不叫规矩。

  核心利益不可交易,无聊游戏无需理会。中国有充足的时间、充分的信心,踏踏实实办好自己的事。无论从什么角度出发,美国都没有资格要求中国“按美方说的办”,反倒是美国自身,闹够了,还是想想该怎么收场的好。 青年大学习第八季第八期 - 传统媒体转型的新路径?的相关文章 报告:高金融素养人群持仓时间更长的相关文章
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