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克利夫兰联储主席贝丝•哈马克周三表示,当前形势仍然支持美联储继续缩减资产负债表。她还表示,在巨大的不确定性之下,现在不是改变货币政策的时候。

哈马克表示,在货币政策上“现在不是先发制人的好时机”,并补充说,现在是时候保持耐心,在对利率采取行动之前,看看数据会如何。

哈马克在纽约大学货币市场专家会议上详细阐述了她对美联储资产负债表的看法。

哈马克表示:“我们的系统中似乎仍然有足够的储备,因此不需要主动管理。”

哈马克表示,美联储持有的资产规模过大会给金融稳定带来风险。美联储缩减持仓的过程被广泛称为量化紧缩(QT)。

她表示:“庞大的资产负债表和充足的储备在一定程度上抑制了货币市场的波动,但同时也促进了金融市场的冒险行为。”

哈马克表示,随着时间的推移,美联储采取临时市场干预措施来管理短期波动是合理的。

她表示:“在某些情况下,美联储可能需要增加临时流动性。在这种情况下,即使储备充足,美联储也能使用公开市场操作的标准工具来维持联邦基金目标区间。”

美联储上个月决定大幅放缓缩减所持美国国债和抵押贷款债券的步伐。美联储已经两次放慢了缩减步伐,以确保不会过快地撤出流动性。

哈马克表示,她支持放慢缩表步伐。尽管系统中仍有足够的储备来推动缩表,但她表示:“我预计,通过减缓缩表步伐,我们将能够让这个过程持续更长时间。”

通过QT,美联储一直在撤回其在新冠疫情时期增加的资金。旨在稳定市场和提供刺激的债券购买计划使美联储持有的资产规模增加了一倍多,达到9万亿美元。缩表过程已使资产负债表规模降至6.8万亿美元。

在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普反复无常的关税政策导致市场剧烈波动之际,美联储资产负债表再次成为焦点。市场压力如此之大,以至于一些人开始思考,如果交易真的陷入混乱,美联储是否需要通过购买债券来稳定市场。

哈马克表示,市场在高度波动中似乎保持有序,投资者能够重新配置资金。她呼应了美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔最近的言论。哈马克表示:“我认为,美联储必须设定极高的门槛才能出手救市。我们需要在那个时候出面支持市场。”

  日本财务大臣加藤胜信敦促G20同行合作稳定市场,并警告称,美国的关税和一些国家采取的反制措施正在损害全球增长,破坏金融市场的稳定。

  加藤当地时间周三在出席七国集团(G7)和20国集团(G20)财长会议后在新闻发布会上表示:“地缘政治问题,如俄乌冲突,以及美国的关税措施和一些国家采取的反制措施,加剧了不确定性,破坏了包括汇率在内的市场稳定,并损害了经济增长。”

  “20国集团必须密切关注事态发展,交换信息,并协调迅速应对,以维持经济和市场稳定,”他说。

  加藤胜信还表示,他将于当地时间周四与美国财政部长贝森特举行双边会谈,不过他没有就日本希望在会谈中讨论什么发表评论。

  韩国央行行长李昌镛表示,美国全面关税政策引发的全球贸易紧张局势是韩国出口导向型经济的主要阻力,这一问题可能会加速韩国实现供应链多元化的努力。

  当地时间周三,正在华盛顿出席20国集团(G20)财长和央行行长会议、以及IMF和世界银行春季年会的李昌镛在接受CNBC采访时做出了上述表示。

  “我们是一个出口导向型经济体。因此,贸易紧张局势无疑也是一大不利因素。我们将直接受到美国关税的影响,也会间接受到美国对其他国家征收关税的影响。例如,我们在越南的半导体生产、在墨西哥的汽车和电子产品生产以及在加拿大的电池生产都将受到影响。”

  “我真的希望这种贸易紧张局势能够消散,因为这对每个人都不利,”他补充说。

  但他说,韩国有“一些优势”来处理这个问题,因为在过去几年里,韩国“幸运地”实现了供应链的多元化。

  “这是一种自然的运动,使我们的供应链多样化,并向价值链上游移动。所以这将继续下去,但与此同时,最近的贸易紧张局势可能会加速这一行动。”

  在谈到经济增长时,李昌镛表示,由于美国关税政策的高度不确定性,很难提出增长前景。

  “目前,我不知道我们必须假设什么样的贸易紧张情景作为基准或参考情景,”李昌镛说,“明天与美国进行关税谈判后,我可能会有更好的主意。”

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