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  国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二表示,随着美国总统特朗普对几乎所有贸易伙伴征收的高额关税开始产生影响,全球经济产出将在未来几个月放缓。

  IMF发布了最新的《世界经济展望》报告,大幅下调了对美国、中国和大多数国家的经济增长预期,理由是美国关税的影响目前处于100年来的高位,并警告称,贸易紧张局势加剧将进一步放缓经济增长。

  该机构将其对2025年全球经济增长的预测下调了0.5个百分点,至2.8%,并将2026年增长预测下调了0.3个百分点,至3%。

  IMF表示,考虑到关税的影响,预计通胀下降速度将慢于其1月份的预期,2025年和2026年的通胀率将分别达到4.3%和3.6%,美国和其他发达经济体的通胀率“明显”向上修正。

  IMF称该报告是基于截至4月4日的事态发展的“参考预测”,理由是当前形势极其复杂和多变。

  “我们正在进入一个新时代,运行了80年的全球经济体系正在被重置。”

  IMF表示,贸易紧张局势的加剧以及未来政策的“极高”不确定性,将对全球经济活动产生重大影响。

  在美国总统特朗普表示他无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔后,美国国债收益率曲线趋平,30年期债券跑赢其他品种。30年期国债收益率下跌8个基点至4.80%,10年期国债收益率下跌4个基点至4.36%,2年期收益率微升1个基点至3.83%。

  美国总统特朗普称无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,美国股债汇反弹,黄金高位下跌。

  据央视新闻报道,当地时间22日,美国总统特朗普称美联储应该降低利率,且他无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。此外,特朗普还表示,希望美联储主席鲍威尔在利率问题上采取更加积极的行动。

  同日,美股股、债、汇反弹,黄金高位下跌。

  Wind数据显示,当日,衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数收报98.9757,日内上涨0.63%;截至发稿,美元指数报99.4925,上涨0.52%。

  美国10年期、30年期国债收益率当日收报4.391%、4.865%,日内分别下跌1.6个基点、3.7个基点;截至发稿,美国10年期、30年期国债收益率分别报4.37%、4.812%,日内分别下跌2.15个基点、5.3个基点。收益率的下跌对应着美债价格的上涨。

  美股收涨。截至当日收盘,道琼斯工业指数上涨2.66%,纳斯达克指数上涨2.71%,标普500指数上涨2.51%。

  黄金高位跳水,截至发稿,COMEX黄金期货报3344.4美元/盎司,日内下跌2.19%。

  此前,受特朗普解除鲍威尔等言论的影响,美国一度出现股汇债“三杀”、黄金价格屡创历史新高的情况。

  澎湃新闻记者林倩冰

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  4月23日,人民币兑美元中间价报7.2116元,下调42点。

  特朗普:无意解雇鲍威尔但美联储应该降低利率

  当地时间22日,美国总统特朗普称美联储应该降低利率,且他无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔。此外,特朗普还表示,希望美联储主席鲍威尔在利率问题上采取更加积极的行动。

  外汇局:保持汇率弹性坚决对市场顺周期行为进行纠偏

  对于今年以来我国外汇市场运行情况,外汇局副局长、新闻发言人李斌表示,今年以来,外部环境发生深刻变化,国际金融市场波动加大,风险挑战增加。我国加快构建新发展格局,扎实推动高质量发展,实施更加积极有为的宏观政策,有力有效应对外部挑战,经济保持回升向好,外汇市场运行总体平稳。

  李斌表示,下一步,外汇管理部门将持续强化外汇形势监测,保持汇率弹性,有效发挥汇率调节宏观经济和国际收支自动稳定器功能,同时不断丰富跨境资金流动宏观审慎管理工具箱,坚决对市场顺周期行为进行纠偏,防止汇率超调风险,防范跨境资金异常流动风险,维护国家经济金融安全。

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