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开车越往下越疼的那种软件_趋势分析与投资策略全攻略
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开车越往下越疼的那种软件_趋势分析与投资策略全攻略

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美的集团入主一年后,科陆电子终于实现业绩反转。

4月14日晚,科陆电子公布的一季度报告,创下了近年来单季最佳盈利表现。

2025年一季度,公司实现营业收入12.14亿元,同比增长16.2%;实现归母净利润6745.09万元,同比大幅增长857.45%。

次日,科陆电子股价大幅上涨10.07%,涨停,报4.48元/股。

美的鼎力支持,换来科陆电子的翻身仗了吗?

扭亏为盈赚6745.09万,但这一天用了快三年

作为作为美的集团购入的新能源子公司,科陆电子收到的市场关注,近两年只多不少。

科陆电子成立于1996年,2007年在深圳证交所上市,最早靠着智能电表业务发家,2009年进军储能,是国内较早进入储能系统集成领域的企业,在业内说起来,也要挂一个“前储能行业龙头”的名号。

2018年至2019年,科陆电子疯狂扩张,接连巨亏12.2亿、23.8亿后,进入戴帽“ST”的至暗时刻,深圳资本集团伸出援手,但2020年短暂转盈后,又再度滑入亏损泥潭。

2022年5月,美的集团宣布将入主科陆电子,2023年6月,正式入股科陆电子,持股比例为22.79%。

2024年是科陆电子被美的集团控股的第一个完整财年。年报中提及,美的集团在研发、制造、供应链、渠道、品牌等多个方面对其进行了支持。依托美的集团供应链和暖通渠道优势,公司工商业储能业务可拓展更多的客户群。

科陆电子在2024年亏损4.64亿元,同比减亏12.24%,负债总额为70.94亿元,资产负债率攀升至93%以上,加权平均净资产收益率低至-64.44%,同比下降3.16%。不仅四年亏了17个亿,盈利能力也不断下降。

可供对比的是,同为美的控股新能源公司的合康新能交出了营收47亿元,净利润1029万元的年报。其中,营收同比大增220%,实现扭亏为盈。

亏损原因有很多,包括信用减值及资产减值损失、汇兑损失增加、储能研发投入加大等,年报显示,科陆电子还存在多起进行中的诉讼纠纷、终止了佛山储能基地、抛售了子公司南昌科陆的股权。

好在2025年一季度,科陆电子业绩由负转正,实现大幅增长。报告期内实现营收12.14亿元,同比增长16.20%,取得归母净利润约6745.09万元,同比增长857.45%。

在2024年7月被南方电网拉黑18个月后,储能作为其第二大营收业务,助其保有了一席之地。科陆电子表示,一季度营收增加主要与储能业务收入同比增加有关。

然而科陆电子多起正在进行中的诉讼和居高不下的负债,作为尚未解决的历史遗留问题,这都拖累了公司第一季度的业绩。负债总额从去年底的70.94亿元,攀升至一季度的74.22亿元,资产负债率微降0.7%至92.59%。

由于期内公司采购支付同比增加,科陆电子期内向深能合和电力(河源)有限公司支付了项目保底收益及电费、建设期预期保底收益金额补偿等合计3316.12万元,公司经营活动产生的现金流量净额同比下降251.85%,目前为-1.62亿元。

随着科陆电子缴付诉讼赔偿、进行不良资产剥离后,公司业绩或将进一步好转。

研发助力降本,产品低至0.588

科陆电子主营业务聚焦在智能电网和新型电化学储能两大板块,其中智能电网作为业务传统的高毛利行业,仍其是主要业绩来源。或者说,也是美的的野心所在。

而美的巩固家电基本盘之外,积极布局新能源ToB业务,先后购入合康新能、科陆电子。

两家公司都把储能作为公司的主要业务,理论上两家是竞争关系,在美的内部“赛马”。业务上两家略有差异,合康新能主攻户用市场,科陆电子主攻大储市场、工商业储能。

2024年,科陆电子重点押注储能业务,但由于行业价格战加剧,锂电价格随原材料成本下滑,销售量同比增长37%,达到1386MWh,但实现营收14.56亿元,仅同比微增1.5%。

科陆电子松口气的间歇,情绪依然紧绷。

一方面,美的通过资源整合和技术赋能为其注入活力;另一方面,历史遗留问题与行业竞争压力仍如影随形。如何平衡短期业绩增长与长期战略投入,稳固“美的系”战略地位,是科陆电子待解的难题。

国内,科陆电子积极开拓“五大六小”新客户,2025年第一季度中标中广核项目,容量达10.5GWh,公司当期存货规模较期初增长22.72%至10.78亿元,主要系为储能合同交付进行的战略性备货,在手订单充足;国外,借助美的集团的全球化经验、渠道,科陆电子计划在印度尼西亚建设3GWh储能生产基地,进一步完善海外战略布局。

同时,美的加持下的科陆电子,在研发投入上越发大手笔,2022年至2024年,公司研发费用为2.3亿元、2.6亿元、3.8亿元,依次增长9.14%、13.12%、42.46%,2025年第一季度的研发费用也达到0.9亿元,同比增长29.3%。

目前科陆电子的储能业务布局涵盖PCS、BMS、EMS、储能系统集成以及EPC服务,且实现了PCS+BMS+EMS+DC/DC+O&MS核心组件全面自产自研。

这种垂直整合能力直接转化为成本优势。在去年9月,行业内工商储产品普遍在0.7元/Wh的时候,科陆电子推出Aqua-E系列工商储产品,打出“0.598(元/Wh),把我带回家”的低价储能产品广告,将工商业储能带入了5毛时代。

作为储能卷价格的前辈,当下储能产品价格没有最低、只有更低,而更低的价格应是电芯成本控制、渠道优化、安装标准化和运维智能化一整套体系沉淀下来的结果。

在4月10日的ESIE展会上,科陆电子又重磅推出“Aqua-E522”工商业储能产品,并打出“0.588,小e带回家”的口号,远低于工商业储能报价多集中在的0.6-0.7/Wh范围。

上述产品卖点主要在“安全+低价”上,科陆电子依托美的集团的供应链整合能力,实现电芯采购成本的极致压缩;通过标准化安装体系,将隐性施工成本透明化。

而在强制配储正式取消后,储能将不再是成本中心,而成为盈利中心,价格战是否可持续,还是个未知数。

美的的赋能虽助科陆电子实现业绩反弹,但储能价格战的持续和92.59%的资产负债率的压力仍高悬。其短期突围需实现从卷价格到卷价值,稳固优势;长期造血则需依托技术壁垒构建与海外市场突破,与美的互为犄角之势——这场翻身仗,尚未到终局。

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