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荒野大镖客大妈,在哪里?一文带你了解

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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  中国旭阳集团(01907)公布,2025年4月22日耗资123.943万港元回购49.3万股股份。

美国总统特朗普表示,他无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,尽管他对美联储没有更快地降息感到失望。特朗普周二对记者说:“从来没有(打算解雇鲍威尔)。媒体总是把事情搞得一团糟。我希望看到他在降低利率的想法上更积极一些。”

上周五,白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特告诉记者,特朗普正在研究他是否能够解雇鲍威尔的问题;在此之前,特朗普在社交媒体上发表了一系列批评美联储的帖子和公开评论。上周,就在欧洲央行将基准利率下调25个基点至2.25%(约为美联储利率4.25-4.5%的一半)之前,特朗普发表了一篇针对鲍威尔的“长篇批文”,他在TruthSocial上的一篇文章中说,“鲍威尔被解雇的速度再快都不为过!”

特朗普一再抱怨美联储降息速度不够快。特朗普周二重申了这一批评,尽管他坚称,他的言论引发的争议——这些言论扰乱了市场——被夸大了。特朗普说:“我们认为现在是降低利率的完美时机,我们希望看到我们的主席提前或准时,而不是迟到(降息)。”

鲍威尔和他的同事们在2024年最后几个月将利率下调了整整一个百分点后,今年迄今维持利率不变,他们正在观察经济对美国政府的关税、税收改革、放松管制和移民政策的反应。大多数美联储官员都表示,目前的政策是好的,但仍需要对经济施加一些压力,以继续抑制通胀。四年来,美国通胀一直高于美联储2%的目标。

美国经济去年以2.8%的健康速度增长,但经济学家现在认为,关税将在2025年晚些时候推动经济放缓。虽然美联储通常会在这种情况下降息以试图提振经济,但鲍威尔和他的一些同事已经暗示,由于担心征税也会重新引发通胀,美联储可能需要优先考虑其双重任务中的通胀方面。

特朗普缓和言论带动美元、美股大幅反弹

在特朗普表示无意解雇鲍威尔之后,美元兑主要货币走高。美元兑日元和瑞士法郎的涨幅最大,分别上涨了1%至143日元和0.8269瑞士法郎左右。一些技术指标和市场仓位显示,看跌美元的押注过度。

本周,在特朗普威胁解雇鲍威尔和美国经济衰退风险引发“抛售美国”交易后,投资者抛售美国股票、债券和美元,金价飙升至历史新高;周一,美元跌至2023年12月以来的最低水平,美股三大指数跳水。

美股和美国国债也周二表现出更大的稳定性,因为白宫表示,政府在旨在降低特朗普本月早些时候宣布的大规模关税的贸易协议谈判上取得了进展。尽管10年期美国国债收益率几乎没有变化,但盘后刷新日低;由于拍卖需求低迷,2年期美国国债收益率升至3.82%。周二,三大指数均上涨2.5%左右,盘后进一步拉升。

其次,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特的言论也缓和了市场的紧张情绪。据一位在场人士告诉媒体称,贝森特周二在一次闭门会议上告诉投资者,与中国的贸易战是不可持续的,贸易战局势可能会在“不久的将来”缓和。

GlobalXETFs投资策略师BillyLeung表示:“贝森特有关中国的言论以及特朗普不打算撤换鲍威尔的消息,推动美元走强——所有这些都有利于美国资产的风险情绪。昨天美股和美元都受到了利好,但请注意,这只是前一天美元被大量抛售的回弹。”

法国农业信贷银行首席外汇策略师、顶级预测专家ValentinMarinov表示,尽管全球贸易战动摇了美元的避险地位,并导致至少20年来最糟糕的年度开局,但美元的跌势可能会在本季度有所缓解。根据排名,Marinov是第一季度主要货币最准确的预测者,他表示,特朗普暂停征收一些关税的举动将有助于平息市场对美国经济增长的担忧,减缓资本从美国市场外流。

XTB研究主管KathleenBrooks在一份报告中写道:“市场继续受到新闻的推动。随着我们进入本周中期,人们可能会越来越乐观地认为,美国金融体系正从悬崖边缘走回来。”

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