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  宏观面

4月24日,近期金融市场受诸多因素影响显著波动。贸易紧张局势缓和预期及特朗普放弃解雇美联储主席威胁,成关键利好。周三美元兑主要货币反弹,美元指数涨0.94%,日线两连阳,最高99.94,收报99.90,特朗普政府考虑降关税等消息提振美元汇率。受此影响,美国华尔街股市周三大幅上涨,道指涨419.59点(1.07%),标普500指数涨88.10点(1.67%),纳指涨407.63点(2.50%)。股市繁荣削弱黄金避险买需,此前金价2025年初以来已涨超26%,现多单有获利了结需求,投资者需警惕回调风险。此外,美国3月耐用品订单月率初值和4月19日当周初请失业金人数将出炉,影响重大。当前金融市场受贸易、货币、经济数据等因素综合作用,虽贸易及美联储消息积极,但仍存不确定性,投资者需谨慎,依自身情况合理决策。

  美元指数

  在美元指数的表现上,周三美元指数呈现出上涨态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至99.91的位置,最低则下探至98.834,最终以99.866的价格收盘。回顾周三市场表现,在早盘期间价格直接向上飙升,之后短线调整后再度飙升,并且再创日内新高位置,最终日线大阳收尾。后续继续关注日线阻力得失表现。

  从多周期分析,周线级别来看价格压制在105区域阻力,那么从中期视角出发,美元指数的走势将更偏向于空头。在日线级别上价格压制在100.30区域的阻力位,那么从波段看空头的思路进行操作,但是后续需要谨防价格再度上破并站上日线阻力。短期四小时上看99.10-20区域是美指短期分水岭,价格在此位置之上则短期依旧维持偏多表现,待后续价格回踩后关注进一步上攻,上方则关注日线阻力得失,一旦上破则后续波段有望开启一波上涨,大家注意市场节奏即可。

  美指99.10-20区间多,防守5美金,目标99.80-100.30

  欧美

  欧美方面,周三欧美价格总体呈现下跌的状态。当日价格最低下跌至1.1307位置,最高上涨至1.1439位置,收盘于1.1311位置。回顾周三欧美市场表现,早间开盘价格短线快速承压下跌,之后向上反弹修正但是持续压制在四小时阻力,之后美盘继续承压并收盘在低位,日线大阴收尾,后续持续关注日线支撑得失。

  从多周期分析,从月线级别来看,欧美受撑于1.0770位置,所以长线多头对待。从周线级别看价格受撑于1.0790区域的支撑,从中线的角度持续看多。从日线级别,价格受撑于1.1270区域支撑,所以波段同样多头的思路对待,价格下跌暂时作为修正对待,之后进一步跌破后才会波段承压。从短期四小时级别看,昨日价格跌破四小时支撑位置,则此位置由之前支撑变后续阻力,则短期价格有望依托此位置继续承压,随着时间的推移暂时重点关注1.1400010区间阻力,所以暂时待价格后续回踩后先看承压,下方则暂时关注1.1330-1.1270区域支撑,后续四小时阻力及日线支撑区间破位后将延续。

  欧美1.1400-10区间空,防守40点,目标1.1330-1.1270

  【今日重点关注的财经数据与事件】2025年4月24日周四

  ①待定特朗普称美乌将签署矿产协议

  ②16:00德国4月IFO商业景气指数

  ③18:00英国4月CBI工业订单差值

  ④20:30美国至4月19日当周初请失业金人数

  ⑤20:30美国3月耐用品订单月率

  ⑥22:00美国3月成屋销售总数年化

  ⑦22:30美国至4月18日当周EIA天然气库存

专题:新浪财经上市公司研究院

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  出品:新浪财经上市公司研究院

  作者:昊

  4月22日,领益智造发布公司发行可转换公司债券及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金报告书(草案),拟发行可转债募资,收购江苏科达斯特恩汽车科技股份有限公司(以下称“江苏科达”)66.46%股权,同时通过定增募集配套资金2.07亿,用于支付交易的现金对价、补充流动资金以及偿还银行贷款。

  江苏科达主业为汽车内饰,近两年,来自前五大客户的收入占比高达98%左右,且经营现金流持续为负,与同期业绩显著背离,负债率一直在80%以上,其中绝大部分是应付款,资金压力巨大。

  领益智造以模切业务起家,2018年借壳上市后,主业从消费电子陆续拓展到光伏、新能源汽车、人形机器人等领域。此次融资收购后,将进一步增加汽车内饰业务,同时标的评估增值超100%,交易的必要性值得商榷。

  就在4个月前,领益智造刚刚通过可转债募资21.4亿,用于8个新项目的建设,考虑到此前30亿定增的3个募投项目全部无疾而终,市场对上述8个项目最终能否顺利完成疑虑颇深。

  值得一提的是,即便资金紧张、不停对外融资,领益智造仍计划斥资2亿-4亿回购股份,此举同样令人费解。

  标的前五大客户营收占比98%负债率超80%、评估增值100%

  领益智造公告称,拟通过发行可转换公司债券及支付现金的方式向常州优融、上海迈环、万里扬管理、芜湖华安、常州青枫、常州星远、常州超领、江苏信保等8名交易对方购买其合计持有的江苏科达66.46%股权并募集配套资金。

  领益智造表示,通过收购标的公司控股权,能够快速切入了具备广阔市场前景的汽车饰件行业,有助于上市公司在原主营业务取得市场龙头地位后打造新增成长曲线,继续提升上市公司的收入规模和盈利能力,实现在创新领域的业务开拓。

  江苏科达主业是汽车饰件总成产品的研发、设计、生产和销售,包括仪表板总成(含主仪表板总成、副仪表板总成)、门护板总成、立柱总成等,目前主要客户是奇瑞汽车、上汽集团、比亚迪、理想汽车、江淮汽车等。

  值得注意的是,近两年来,江苏科达前五名客户(主要是上述车企)的收入分别为7.98亿元和8.83亿元,占同期营业收入的比例高达97.81%和98.19%。

  不仅如此,江苏科达近两年经营现金流分别为-195万元和-2301万元,持续净流出,与同期2532万元和4098万元的归母净利润显著背离;负债率分别为87%和81%,均处于80%以上的高位,其中2024年末应付票据和应付账款合计7.94亿,占总资产的比例达60%,资金压力巨大。

  领益智造以模切业务起家,2017年筹划借壳上市,并收购东莞鑫焱及领镒精密扩大结构件业务规模,2019年收购赛尔康切入充电器业务,2020年收购苏州一道并成立苏州益道,2021年收购浙江锦泰开拓新能源业务。2024年,公司又成立人工智能研发中心,搭建AI运算平台,围绕包含XR、机器人等AI终端的硬件产品探索在自身业务领域的具体应用和协同。

  经过多次对外收购,领益智造主业从最初的消费电子陆续拓展到光伏、新能源汽车、人形机器人等领域。此次融资收购后,将进一步增加汽车内饰业务。考虑到此次交易中,江苏科达评估增值超104%,不断增加的主业叠加高溢价收购,交易的必要性值得商榷。

  30亿定增3个募投项目均无疾而终又募资21亿新建8大项目

  事实上,就在此次融资计划宣布前4个月,2024年12月,领益智造刚刚完成上一轮可转债发行,募资21.4亿,用于平湖制造中心建设项目、田心制造中心建设项目、碳纤维及散热精密件研发生产项目等8个项目的建设。

  值得注意的是,2020年7月,领益智造曾通过定增募资30亿,投向新建触控板键盘模组项目、电磁功能材料项目以及精密金属加工项目。

  而根据年报显示,截至2024年末,领益智造上述三个募投项目效益未达预期,且被先后终止,剩余未使用的募投资金全部用于公司补流。

  考虑到前次定增融资募投项目全部无疾而终,市场难免对2024年可转债融资事项中的8个项目最终能否顺利完成,产生疑虑。

  不仅如此,一轮又一轮的对外融资,并未缓解公司资金饥渴程度。统计显示,近几年来,领益智造缺钱的状况并未得到任何改善。

  值得一提的是,即便资金紧张、不停对外融资,领益智造仍计划斥资2亿-4亿回购股份,用于股权激励计划或员工持股计划,此举同样令人费解。 

  4月22日,澎湃新闻报道了西安男子卓某某因出售手机收到涉诈资金,后因其不愿前往广西接受调查被挂“网逃”一事。24日,卓某某的家属告诉澎湃新闻,22日晚,卓某某被西安警方带到派出所,并通知了广西警方。23日中午,广西警方派人到西安对卓某某进行了调查,排除了其作案嫌疑,决定对卓某某终止侦查。当天下午,卓某某即被释放。

  澎湃新闻此前报道,西安男子卓某某通过闲鱼向他人出售了一部手机,但因对方资金系涉诈资金,导致卓某某银行卡被广西岑溪警方冻结。此后,在前往广西接受调查,还是在西安接受本地警方调查的问题上,卓某某与广西办案民警产生争议。

  4月16日,卓某某接到西安三个派出所民警电话,称其已被广西警方列为“网逃”,要求其前往派出所自首。卓某某认为,自己也是该诈骗案的受害人,因此至今尚未前去派出所自首,他已向“12389”平台和检察机关平台反映此事,希望能够得到合理解决。

  此前,广西办案机关相关负责人告诉澎湃新闻,经多次联系,卓某某都不愿到广西接受办案机关调查,所以才给他列为“网逃”。他现在可向当地公安机关自首,办案机关会过去调查清楚。“一级卡主(直接接收涉诈资金的银行卡持有人)很多也是涉及被人家骗了,也有的人是有主观故意的,法律规定我们要侦查清楚,能够不追究他的责任我们就不追究了。”

  美国总统特朗普表态无意解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔,暂时缓解了市场对央行独立性的担忧,推动美元指数周三触及99.9340的一周高位。

  然而这种涨势未能延续。Pepperstone策略师迈克尔·布朗在研报中指出,伴随‘美国例外主义’神话的破灭,加之美元已成为‘承受特朗普政策反复无常风险敞口最大的单一资产’,任何汇率反弹都难以持久。

  截至发稿,美元指数下跌0.2%至99.6080,较前日高点明显回落。

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