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  4月19日电(记者甘甜)美国的关税政策导致部分国家和地区民众对与美国进行合作、开展贸易,失去了基本信心,一个脱离于美国的全球贸易体系可能会更早地得以建立,中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院研究员、东南亚研究中心主任许利平日前对表示。

  近期,美国一系列滥施关税的错误做法,遭到国际社会的普遍反对。对此,许利平在接受采访时表示,美国挥舞“关税大棒”,不仅动摇美国国债安全性,也将对美元地位造成严峻挑战,美国的关税政策正对自身产生反噬作用。

  德意志银行也警告,贸易冲突已经对美元造成伤害,美元正面临信心危机。高盛集团还预计,由于“关税风暴”可能阻碍经济增长、重燃通胀并推高失业率,未来12个月,美国经济出现衰退的概率升至35%。

  在此背景下,许利平指出,亚洲国家包括中国和东南亚国家应当专注于区域内的供应链、产业链合作,包括加强在《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)框架下的合作。

  “特别是在关税和非关税壁垒方面,开展更多工作,挖掘区域内投资贸易潜力,未来进一步减少对美贸易依赖。我认为,这是一大趋势。”许利平说。

  许利平表示,目前来看,越南、马来西亚和柬埔寨等国存在一定共识,即反对单边主义、贸易保护主义,维护全球自由贸易体系,符合各国共同利益,“下一步,关键是要进一步提升双方的投资和贸易自由化水平,真正地让亚洲地区持续成为全球经济增长引擎”。

  此外,许利平进一步指出,除了美国之外的跨区域贸易正在迎来一个新的契机,多国也应当更多地开展本币结算,加强跨区域协同合作,释放更多贸易投资合作潜力。

  “未来,如果美国继续挥舞‘关税大棒’,那么,一个脱离于美国的全球贸易体系可能会更早地建立,这对于美国来说,将是一场噩梦。”许利平在采访最后强调。(完)

  春季气温多变,对高血压患者来说是一个挑战。在春季如何稳住血压不坐“过山车”?中新社记者采访北京协和医院心内科副主任医师沈建中详解。(李佳悦)

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  • 联合国警告:贸易战或致经济增速暴跌 湖南卫视连发20条沈月 科学家发现太阳系外可能存在生命