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广西壮族自治区
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黄金期货周一首次突破3400美元/盎司的关口,这是该近月合约在过去9个交易日中的第7次收高,主要原因是贸易紧张局势对经济影响的持续不确定性,以及美国总统特朗普关于更换美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的言论越来越多。

美国国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特上周五表示,特朗普仍在研究解雇美联储主席鲍威尔的方法。此前,特朗普在呼吁美联储降息的同时表示,解雇鲍威尔的速度“不够快”。

周一,特朗普在社交媒体上发帖要求降低利率,称成本呈下降趋势,经济可能放缓,“除非‘太迟先生’,一个大失败者,现在就降低利率”。

此番言论导致美国股市暴跌,道琼斯工业平均指数暴跌近1000点,有望创下1932年以来最糟糕的4月表现。美元兑瑞士法郎跌至10年低点,兑欧元和其他主要货币跌至多年新低;衡量美元兑一篮子主要货币的ICE美元指数下跌逾1%,至三年来的最低水平。

SpartanCapitalSecurities分析师PeterCardillo表示,任何对美联储独立性的干涉”都是市场所不乐见的,在我们看来,如果特朗普升级对美联储主席的攻击,黄金将继续表现出色”。他预计黄金价格可能达到5000美元/盎司。

华侨银行策略师ChristopherWong表示,如果美联储的信誉受到质疑,可能会削弱人们对美元的信心,并进一步加速资金流向黄金等避险资产。

周一,近月黄金期货上涨2.9%,至3406.20美元/盎司,近月白银期货上涨0.2%,至32.496美元/盎司;年初至今,近月黄金期货上涨29.5%,白银上涨12.3%。

BloombergIntelligence汇编的数据显示,由于担心全球贸易战对经济和企业盈利增长构成持久威胁,追踪黄金、超短期美国国债和低波动性股票的ETF资金流入已跃升至2023年3月以来的最高水平。

StrategasSecurities的RyanGrabinski表示:“市场正在寻求华盛顿的政策明确性,但目前仍难以捉摸。消费者、企业甚至美联储都不愿做出重大决策,因为存在太多未知因素。”

伊格尔矿业(AEM.US)、金罗斯黄金(KGC.US)、Franco-Nevada(FNV.US)和皇家黄金(RGLD.US)等矿业股周一触及多年盘中高点,不过大多数股票从盘中触及的高点回落。

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