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味道不同的部长的麦子:如何将古老神话转化为视觉盛宴
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味道不同的部长的麦子:如何将古老神话转化为视觉盛宴

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财联社4月18日讯(编辑黄君芝)纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯(JohnWilliams)周四表示,他认为没有必要立即改变美联储的利率政策,尽管特朗普政府的关税可能会推高通货膨胀,削弱经济增长并推高失业率。

威廉姆斯在接受最新采访时说:“我认为货币政策定位良好。我认为短期内没有必要改变联邦基金利率的设定。”

作为纽约联储主席,威廉姆斯同时在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)兼任副主席,与美联储理事一样拥有永久的投票权,被视作该行的“三号人物”。在货币政策方面,他的话语权仅次于主席鲍威尔。

威廉姆斯在采访中指出,经济前景存在相当大的不确定性。

他重申了自己的观点,即随着美国总统特朗普大幅提高进口税,至少在目前推高了物价压力,失业率将从目前的4.2%升至4.5%至5%,今年的经济增速可能会下滑至1%以下。

“这不是衰退,只是经济前景放缓,增长速度比过去几年要慢。”他补充说。

这位美联储官员并没有透露他预计特朗普提高进口税会在多大程度上推高通胀,但他表示:“今年我们肯定会从关税大战中收到对价格和通胀的影响。”

威廉姆斯强调,美联储必须确保通胀不会持续上升。

“我们需要确保价格的任何一次性变化都不会引发更持久的高通胀。我们需要让通胀回到2%……而且要持续这样做。控制通胀预期仍然很重要。”他补充说。

威廉姆斯接受采访的前一天,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔也发表了讲话,后者警告称,关税将带来更高的价格压力和更高的失业率,这可能迫使美联储选择优先考虑哪一场战斗。鲍威尔指出,美联储将等待更多经济数据,然后再考虑调整利率。

鲍威尔的这些言论再次招致特朗普总统的斥责。目前,尽管通货膨胀率高于目标水平,总统仍希望美联储降息。特朗普还威胁要解除鲍威尔的职务,称其被解职“越快越好”。

这些言论使鲍威尔再次受到总统的指责,他希望美联储在通胀高于目标的情况下降息。总统似乎还威胁到鲍威尔的工作,称将他解职“来得不够快”。

他在社交媒体平台上写道:“美联储的杰罗姆·鲍威尔总是反应太慢、总是做错,他昨天发了一份报告,那报告又是典型的、彻头彻尾的一团糟!”

不过就算特朗普想要解雇鲍威尔,目前尚不清楚法律是否会支持这一举动,而且在已经不稳定的金融环境下,这几乎肯定会引发一场重大的市场危机。鲍威尔目前的美联储主席任期将持续到明年。

  4月18日金融一线消息,银行板块继续走高,工商银行、农业银行、中国银行、建设银行四大行股价均再创历史新高。

4月18日,不出意外的话,出现了意外。本周五因为耶稣受难日所以美盘休市,这也注定了今天的交易会比较清淡,亚盘的反弹力度则取决于大家认为当前的回落是否已经到位了,周初黄金开盘价格冲高到了3250附近,紧接着周一回落地位3195附近,周二开始探底回升,径直冲击到了高位3300破位,直到隔夜周四3358附近才停止冲高,开始走出回落;回落幅度也相当大,低位能够触及到了3290附近,还是讲明立场,这并不是趋势逆转,只是上涨速度太快出现了一定的抛售,加上耶稣受难日美盘停盘,周末还有谈判那么出现抛售是正常可以接受的,可是谁也无法阻挡国际局势的进程,因为美国它一直是那个美国;中东第二阶段已经快要开启了,黄金的起飞阶段还在后半段;所以黄金继续看涨不变。

  为什么说中东第二阶段要开始了,因为俄罗斯和东大都开始和埃及军演了,而且东大五架运20飞过去应该装了不少装备,为什么核心点在中东,因为川普上台后的第一个动作就是放弃乌克兰,那么剩下的战端就只剩下中东以色列和内塔尼亚胡这一个选项了。俄罗斯已经给全球立了一个案板,那么接下来就只需要等待川普下台进入中东绞肉战场了。技术形态上来看当前冲高以后出现了技术性回调,换句话来讲也需要消息面明确出来,无论周末美国和伊朗的谈判如何,都影响不了当前国际局势的进程,凯枫仍旧认为技术形态大家可以参考,可是核心仍旧是要抓住国际局势来看,不能单看技术形态了,技术形态日线级别和四小时级别上早已经出现了顶背离,可是MACD上的金叉运行状态仍旧良好,消息面的冲击太过于强势,几乎没有很强大的回踩空间。另外还是需要提一句,川普可能会服软,如果川普服软那么所建立的逻辑则会往回走,黄金也会开始趋势逆转,我们暂时性持有低位看看具体情况,任何情况下都会发生意外,所以我们不得不考虑新的可能性。

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