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  来源:时代财经APP

  银行业又掀起新一轮存款降息潮。

  “市面上存款利率超过2%的存款产品越来越少了。”储户刘可(化名)几笔定期存款到期,但是近期她发现,当下存款利率超过2.5%的产品都难以找到。

  时代财经注意到,近日有超过20家银行下调定期存款产品利率,也有部分银行给高息存款产品设定起存门槛。目前,国有大行、股份行“2字头”的存款利率产品,已基本不见踪迹。

  在业内人士看来,存款利率或仍会下降。南财理财通特邀专家卜振兴告诉时代财经,从实体经济融资角度来看,随着利率市场化的进一步推进,资金价格会有进一步下降的趋势。但是考虑到商业银行存贷款利息差的压力,存款利率下降的幅度和节奏会与商业银行盈利之间取得一定的平衡。

  民营银行、村镇银行批量降存款利息

  存款降息的风吹到了“利率高地”——民营银行、村镇银行。

  近日,多家民营银行宣布开启新一轮存款产品利率调整。上海华瑞银行公告,其宣布自4月16日起,调整人民币存款挂牌利率。调整后整存整取存款一年期、三年期、五年期挂牌利率分别为1.50%、2.60%、2.55%,其中三年期、五年期利率分别下降10BP、15BP。

  据时代财经不完全统计,4月份以来,已有超20家银行调降部分存款产品利率,包括重庆富民银行、华通银行、蓝海银行、宜春农商行、兴宁珠江村镇银行、乌鲁木齐县利丰村镇银行、襄城中原村镇银行等。这些银行多为原本存款利率就相对较高的民营银行和村镇银行,调整产品则多集中在三年期、五年期存款产品。

  其中,不乏银行大幅度下调存款利率。以闻喜晋融村镇银行为例,该银行公布的最新两年期、三年期定期(整存整取)存款利率分别为1.85%、2.05%。这较其上一次(2024年6月4日)公示的存款利率分别下降55BP、65BP。

  有银行对高利率存款产品设定了“起存门槛”。如湖北麻城农商行发布的公告显示,存款利率相对较高的两款产品福满盈、福满存设定了起存门槛,分别为5万元和20万元。其中福满盈3年期存款利率为2%。

  对比来看,时代财经注意到,目前国有行、股份行2字头存款利率产品难寻。以三年期和五年期整存整取(存款)挂牌利率来看,六大国有行分别为1.50%、1.55%;招商银行、华夏银行、平安银行等股份行的三年期存款利率则多在1.50%-1.80%之间,五年期存款利率多在1.55%-1.85%之间。

  存款特种兵再出动

  新一轮存款降息潮下,存款特种兵蠢蠢欲动。

  在社交平台上,时代财经留意到,不少储户近期瞄准利率更高的民营银行、村镇银行的存款产品,开启跨城存款模式。

  重庆人吴丽(化名)就是其中之一,她一直盯着高利率存款产品,把目光放在了跨城存款。近日,她坐高铁到达贵阳某农商银行开户办卡,该行三年期存款年利率为2.6%,20万元三年期存款利息收入可达15600元。

  吴丽算了一笔账,重庆当地某银行3年期的存款利率为1.9%,20万元的存款三年利息收入为11400元左右。相比之下,她跑一趟来回路费300多元,去掉路费成本,能多拿接近4000元利息收入,还能顺便在贵阳玩一趟,品尝当地美食。

  来自北京的李霞(化名),3月末也去了一趟广西柳州某银行跨城存款。“拿下了五年期利率为2.7%的存单,当了一次存款特种兵。”她表示,还收到了银行送的电高压锅和小金珠。

  一名资金中介告诉时代财经,随着多家银行开始下调存款利率,近期咨询高利率存款产品的储户明显变多,不少人想赶上“高利率存款”产品的末班车。最近一周,时代财经注意到在社交媒体平台有不少关于异地存款实操、攻略、经验分享的热帖。

  “民营银行、村镇银行只在限定区域展业,虽然他们存款产品利率相对较高,需要在他们经营的区域进行开户,才能购买相关存款产品。”某银行工作人员则告诉时代财经,本次民营银行利率调整则是基于市场环境、资金成本以及自身经营策略等多方面因素综合考量的结果。

  业内人士则提醒储户,跨城存款存在一定风险。

  中国邮政储蓄银行研究员娄飞鹏向时代财经表示,跨城存款中也不乏黄牛代抢存款等做法,存在合规风险。跨城存款是在异地开户存款,如果业务需要到银行网点现场办理,而所在城市并没有其分支机构,将来个人急需资金时可能无法及时提现,从而面临流动性风险。

  4月17日化工ETF(516020)盘中

  超40亿主力资金狂买!无惧外需冲击,解码中国化工“攻守兼备”配置机会

  化工板块今日(4月17日)表现亮眼。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF(516020)开盘走高后持续红盘震荡,盘中场内价格最高涨0.7%,截至13:35,涨0.35%。

  成份股方面,多个细分板块表现喜人,截至13:35,齐翔腾达飙涨超6%,圣泉集团大涨超3%,中化国际、三棵树双双涨超2%,彤程新材、藏格矿业、中复神鹰等多股涨超1%。

  资金面上,今日化工板块大举吸金。Wind数据显示,截至13:35,基础化工板块获主力资金净流入超48亿元,净流入额在30个中信一级行业中高居第2

  消息面上,近期,美国关税政策导致全球资产价格出现了大幅波动。开源证券表示,特朗普的出发点在于推动制造业回流美国,但强制加征关税短期可能会让全球需求减弱。我国制造业基础夯实,加上国内内需强劲,短期内无惧海外需求减弱的扰动。

  此外,开源证券还指出,此前欧洲化工企业在成本高企、需求下滑的情况下陆续退出,而此次美国无差别征收关税下其他工业基础薄弱国家的制造业装置或也将退出,中国制造业在全球份额有望持续提升。从短期及中长期影响来看,短期出口需求或受冲击,看好内需相关标的;中长期看好油价回调后带来的化工周期新起点。

  从估值方面来看,Wind数据显示,截至昨日收盘,化工ETF(516020)标的指数细分化工指数市净率为1.85倍,位于近10年来4.5%分位点的低位,中长期配置性价比凸显。

  展望后市,浙商证券表示,在美国关税大幅提升背景下,出口压力增大,外需承压,预计高层或将继续加大经济刺激力度;在政策加持下,内需有望复苏,看好受益内需的磷肥、钾肥、民爆龙头;AI和芯片材料细分龙头等。

  湘财证券指出,美国本轮加征关税,预计对我国化工品直接出口的影响有限,或将通过下游制造环节间接影响化工产品需求。我国化工产业链一体化程度高,在全球范围内竞争优势显著,我国化工产业有望受益于高端产品国产化替代加速、内需景气提升、全球贸易格局重塑等发展机遇。

  如何把握化工板块反弹机遇?借道化工ETF(516020)布局效率或更高。公开资料显示,化工ETF(516020)跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数,全面覆盖化工各个细分领域。其中近5成仓位集中于大市值龙头股,包括万华化学、盐湖股份、恩捷股份、华鲁恒升、天赐材料、荣盛石化等,分享强者恒强投资机遇;其余5成仓位兼顾布局磷肥及磷化工、氟化工、氮肥、煤化工、钛白粉等细分领域龙头股,全面把握化工板块投资机会。场外投资者亦可通过化工ETF联接基金(A类012537/C类012538)布局化工细分领域龙头。

  注:需要特别提醒的是,近期市场波动可能较大,短期涨跌幅不预示未来表现,基金投资可能产生亏损。请投资者务必根据自身的资金状况和风险承受能力理性投资,高度注意仓位和风险管理。

  图片及数据来源:沪深交易所等,截至2025年4月17日。风险提示:化工ETF被动跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数,该指数基日为2004.12.31,发布日期为2012.4.11,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整。Wind数据显示,细分化工指数近5个完整年度收益率分别为2020年:51.68%;2021年:15.72%;2022年:-26.89%;2023年:-23.17%;2024年:-3.83%。标的指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R3-中风险,适合适当性评级C3(平衡型)及以上投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资须谨慎。

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