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网易藏宝阁|引领新时代的创新科技先锋
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网易藏宝阁|引领新时代的创新科技先锋

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  日本通胀挂钩债券遭抛售,促使其收益率四年来首次由负转正,反映出特朗普关税政策引发了更多的市场波动。

  周二,10年期通胀指数化债券的收益率升至0.107%,创2020年7月以来最高水平;上周收益率触及-0.311%的低位。由于流动性减少,日本30年期国债在周一急跌。

  所谓的实际收益率出现上升,通常被视为增长正在回升的信号,也可能提升此类证券的吸引力。但这种情况下的变化并不那么乐观,因为上周美国国债收益率亦出现类似走势,而背后的原因是人们对美国国债作为避险资产属性的质疑增多。

  实际收益率的上升“似乎反映了市场参与者正在降低风险,”三菱日联摩根士丹利证券的高级固定收益策略师KeisukeTsuruta在一份研究报告中写道。“通胀指数化债券流动性低,在市场动荡期间价格波动大。市场仍然不稳定。”

  一项衡量收益率与基于模型的公允价值估值之间差异的指标已升至两年高点,同时伴随着掉期波动,加剧了市场错位的迹象。

  “由于市场突然波动,许多基金和券商的损失不断加大,”AxaInvestmentManagers的固定收益策略师RyutaroKimura表示,“他们对债券进行存储以及承接投资者卖出的能力下降,导致流动性急剧下降。”

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